Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.001064 0.001214 0.001365 0.001530 0.001703 0.001880 0.002073
2025-03-09 0.000785 0.000990 0.001207 0.001452 0.001718 0.001997 0.002308
2025-03-16 0.000590 0.000832 0.001099 0.001410 0.001758 0.002129 0.002553
2025-03-23 0.000486 0.000761 0.001078 0.001457 0.001889 0.002358 0.002900
2025-03-30 0.000378 0.000670 0.001023 0.001458 0.001965 0.002524 0.003177
2025-04-06 0.000304 0.000613 0.001001 0.001493 0.002075 0.002725 0.003491
2025-04-13 0.000260 0.000587 0.001013 0.001564 0.002225 0.002971 0.003856
2025-04-20 0.000173 0.000486 0.000922 0.001505 0.002218 0.003034 0.004011
2025-04-27 0.000103 0.000393 0.000831 0.001437 0.002196 0.003075 0.004138
2025-05-04 0.000078 0.000368 0.000829 0.001481 0.002306 0.003268 0.004439
2025-05-11 0.000035 0.000290 0.000744 0.001411 0.002273 0.003292 0.004541
2025-05-18 0.000006 0.000211 0.000645 0.001315 0.002203 0.003267 0.004584
2025-05-25 NaN 0.000141 0.000558 0.001248 0.002189 0.003334 0.004768
2025-06-01 NaN 0.000088 0.000485 0.001195 0.002191 0.003424 0.004981
2025-06-08 NaN 0.000054 0.000434 0.001168 0.002227 0.003554 0.005244
2025-06-15 NaN 0.000042 0.000433 0.001218 0.002366 0.003814 0.005664
2025-06-22 NaN 0.000025 0.000407 0.001225 0.002446 0.003999 0.005995
2025-06-29 NaN 0.000016 0.000398 0.001261 0.002564 0.004232 0.006384
2025-07-06 NaN 0.000013 0.000410 0.001330 0.002728 0.004524 0.006844
2025-07-13 NaN 0.000001 0.000353 0.001276 0.002720 0.004596 0.007037
2025-07-20 NaN NaN 0.000297 0.001215 0.002696 0.004645 0.007200
2025-07-27 NaN NaN 0.000296 0.001256 0.002818 0.004883 0.007592
2025-08-03 NaN NaN 0.000244 0.001192 0.002785 0.004916 0.007733